Mortgage Market Analysis: Indications of Recession

Mortgage Market Analysis: Indications of Recession

The world economy may seem to be in chaos at first glance lately. The effects of the Coronavirus pandemic have extended far beyond stretched hospitals. Unemployment surge and uncertain trade relations have developed massive uncertainty across the entire economy. Now we are beginning to see some of the impacts ripple over into the real estate market. There are problem signs bubbling up in the mortgage market in particular.

Anticipations of Homeowners</h2>

The mass surge in unemployment has left many Americans with no way to pay their bills and very few signs of any help coming soon. This will be a lagging signal compared to unemployment as some individuals have savings or other minor revenue streams.

<h2>Surge in Loan Forbearance</h2>

Right now many property owners have been able to find comfort through loan forbearance. Part of the government’s stimulus programs has extended loan forbearance for certain homeowners. The individuals who qualify have been able to get by penalty-free without paying their mortgages by having them placed in forbearance. This alleviates the homeowners but does put pressure on the finance industry as the loan payment revenue stream dries up.

Effects of Late Payments on credit ratings</h2>

The relief programs are ideal for homeowners that are under pressure right now. This will be temporary though. There are no set guidelines for what will happen after the forbearance period is over and many banks are calling for lump-sum payments. If this shows up and if a homeowner has their loan in forbearance for three months once they end the forbearance period they will owe three months’ worth of mortgage payments all at once.

Other impacts of mortgage Defaults</h2>

Currently, the principal fear is that once the loans come out of forbearance what happens if the homeowners cannot afford the lump sum payments. Many will be unemployed still. There is a possibility that there would likely be a wave of foreclosures and delinquencies. This would not only force the largest wave of Americans out onto the streets in history but it could have dreadful effects on the real estate market as a whole.

More information can be found at <a href=”″>BNN Bloomberg</a>.


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